Penulis : Bank Indonesia does not seoptimistis
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Bank Indonesia does not seoptimistis
Bank Indonesia does not seoptimistis State Budget Amendment (Revised) 2014 about economic growth. From the third quarter performance is likely to experience a slowdown in retail sales, the growth of the maximum that can be obtained is 5.5 percent. This is a potential threat to government targets and the Indonesian House of Representatives who wish to enjoy growth this year of 5.6 percent at the end of the year.
Monetary authorities already see the tendency weakening of the situation from July to September, in which the motion of the economy by the central bank monitoring is not much different from the second quarter. If in the second quarter (growth) in the range of 5.1 percent, probably in the range of the third quarter as well, said central bank governor Agustin Martowardojo in his office, Jakarta, Friday (12/9).
It is unexpected slowdown in household consumption. There will be an increasing trend of government spending, including the realization of projects that have been completed auctions. There are also additional foreign and domestic investment towards the end of the year. But all that was not enough to stop the trend of an economic slowdown.
The main factor is the consumption. Household there is weakening, said Agus Marto.
For a while, BI still providing moderate growth estimate of 5.1 per cent - 5.5 per cent for the third quarter of 2014, but it could be down to the top, says central bank governor.
In a study reported earlier this week, the central bank explained moments after passing Eid, retail sales will decline. That is, the period of August to early September there was no surge mean for retail products, except automotive needs stable level.
"It is estimated that the entire group categories recorded a slowdown in sales, except in the group spare parts and accessories," the BI report.
Retail Sales Index for August 2014 is expected to decline to 159.6. Similarly, the expectation of price pressures in the coming three months, or until October 2014.
In Price Expectations Index (IEH) the next three months, the survey figures were recorded 130.4, down 7.9 points compared to the previous month IEH. Retail sales jumped due back at the end and beginning of a new year.
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